BMBI

BMBI: Q3 volume sales down -10.5% on Q2 2022. Value sales down -3.3%

  • 29 Nov 2023

The latest total volume sales figures from Britain’s Builders’ Merchants from BMBI show that Q3 2023 volumes fell -10.5% in comparison to the same period in 2022. Total value sales were down -3.3% with prices rising +8.0%. There was no difference in trading days.

Year-on-year, of the twelve categories, eight sold more with Renewables & Water Saving (+27.8%) once again significantly ahead of the rest. The three largest categories all sold less in Q3: Heavy Building Materials (-1.5%), Landscaping (-7.0%) and Timber & Joinery Products (-13.1%).

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Quarter-on-quarter

Total value sales dipped -1.4% in Q3 2023 in comparison with April to June 2023. Volume sales dropped -2.1% and prices edged up +0.8%. With four more trading days in the most recent period, like-for-like sales were -7.5% lower in July to September compared to Q2.

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September sales, Year-on-Year

Q3 results weren’t helped by September total value sales, which were -6.1% down on the same month in 2022, with no difference in trading days. Volume sales fell -13.0% while prices rose +7.8%. Value sales of the largest three categories, Heavy Building Materials (-5.8%), Landscaping (-6.7%), and Timber & Joinery Products (-13.9%), were significantly down, although some smaller categories, Tools (+7.4%), Decorating (+7.3%), Kitchens & Bathrooms (+5.9%), Plumbing, Heating & Electrical (+3.3%) and Ironmongery (+1.7%), sold more.

September sales, Month-on-Month

Compared to August, September total merchant sales were down -3.4%. Volume (-2.7%) and prices (-0.7%) were also down. With one less trading day in September, like-for-like sales were +1.2% higher. Only three categories sold more: Workwear & Safetywear (+2.7%), Plumbing, Heating & Electrical (+2.3%) and Kitchens & Bathrooms (+0.8%). Seasonal category Landscaping (-9.2%) contracted the most.

Last 12 months

October 2022 to September 2023 value sales were down -1.9% on the same 12-month period in 2022, with no difference in trading days. Volume sales plunged -13.0% with prices increasing +12.8%.

BMBIIan Doherty, Chief Executive of Hexstone, and the Owlett-Jaton brand, and BMBI’s Expert for Fasteners & Fixings, says: “As expected, the volume downturn seen in the second quarter has continued as the construction and RM&I sectors continue to be sluggish.

“Reduced manufacturing costs in the Far East, together with lower shipping costs, have provided the drivers for cost price reductions, though these have been somewhat offset by the weakness of sterling against the US dollar in which both shipping and Far East costs are paid. Overall, this has led to some price deflation, which, together with the volume decline, has led to noticeably lower sales values.

Russian steel

“Following on from the EU’s decision to tighten sanctions against the use of Russian steel, the UK has now also introduced a similar regime requiring importers to prove that the products they are importing do not contain any Russian steel, even if they were manufactured in another country. These new sanctions took effect from 30th September 2023 and were introduced with relatively short notice.

“However, the UK has adopted more of a due diligence approach to the proof required, and HMRC, who are responsible for the enforcement of the sanctions, seem willing to accept a wider range of evidence that appropriate steps have been taken to ensure Russian steel is not being used. At the time of writing, we are now a couple of weeks into this new regime, it seems to have gone in with little or no disruption to supplies.

“It also seems that the EU’s stance on the required evidence is becoming more flexible, with individual customs authorities being given a degree of latitude on acceptable evidence. With Northern Ireland covered by the EU rather than the UK sanctions regime, this change has simplified movements to Northern Ireland and all indications are, that providing importers have undertaken appropriate due diligence, there should not be any supply difficulties caused by sanctions.”

BMBI Experts speak exclusively for their markets, explaining trends, issues and opportunities. For the latest reports, Expert comments and Round Table videos, visit www.bmbi.co.uk.

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